Date of Award

Spring 5-31-2026

Document Type

Open Access Honors Thesis

Degree Name

Bachelor of Science (BS)

Department

Management

Advisor

Aditya Kashikar

Director

Leonard von Morze

Subject Categories

Business | Business Administration, Management, and Operations | Business Intelligence | Corporate Finance | Finance and Financial Management | Human-Computer Interaction | Management Information Systems | Technology and Innovation

Abstract

This study examines the level of agreement and performance between artificial intelligence (AI) generated investment recommendations and human analyst recommendations across U.S. publicly traded firms. Using a sample of twelve companies categorized by firm size (large, mid, and small), the study collects buy, hold, or sell recommendations from generative AI systems and human analysts. Agreement between AI-to-AI and AI-to-human recommendations is measured using Cohen’s Kappa agreement. Portfolio performance is evaluated by constructing equal-weighted portfolios for each recommendation source and size category. Risk-adjusted returns are measured using the Sharpe ratio over 1-, 2-, and 3-month periods. Furthermore, the study tests whether agreement between AI-to-human recommendations is lessened among smaller firms, where information asymmetry and limited analyst coverage may increase uncertainty. Through agreement analysis and portfolio performance evaluation, this research aims to evaluate whether AI systems mirror, diverge from, or outperform traditional human analysts in short-term investment contexts.

Comments

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